This year’s sale could be a serious mistake

Context:

The old financial market dictation generally announces color in May “to sell in May and leave”, but for 2025 it could be completely different.

Several factors indicate significant differences in the landscape of the market in 2025. It suggests that it may be more synonymous with beautiful prices than to fall.

Sell ​​in May: Error in 2025!

Many analysts have recently emphasized the key reason: Bitcoin is now closely in line with M2 Monetary World.

We remind you that the Ticker M2 measures the amount of money in circulation in the economy. It includes species, economical deposits and highly liquid assets. Historically M2 showed a strong correlation with the course of bitcoins. When central banks such as Fed or ECB increase the currency offer in circulation, Bitcoin tends to rise.

Bitcoins and global M2 (90 -day delay). Source: Kaduna
Bitcoin and World M2 (90 -day delay). Source: Kaduna

Kaduna shared a graph that confirms that this trend should continue in 2025. According to this scheme, it could be a decisive month for bitcoins. Although not all analysts agree with this aspect, investors accept it more and more and create a positive feeling around the crypto market.

“Sale in May and departure would be a huge mistake,” Kaduna said.

Second, historical data support the perspective of Kaduna. According to Corcilass, Bitcoin has offered an average yield of more than 7.9 %in May over the past 12 years. Although financial markets often experience turbulence in the summer, Bitcoin does not always follow this system.

Bitcoin price per month. Source: Coringlass
Bitcoin course per month. Source: Coringlass

May often showed a positive performance with 6 months with a positive assessment for 6 negative months (since 2013). 2025 will therefore make it possible to take advantage of the camp. It is not the best month of the year, but still does the same game with June and far exceeds the month of September. The investor also noted that since 2010, Bitcoin has experienced nine positive and six negative months.

ETF gets a form

If the original proverb comes from the stock market and agrees with the shares, it does not necessarily have a crypto case.

Another main point supporting Kadun’s work is to increase incoming flows in Bitcoin ETF. Beincrypto recently said that the cash ETF attracted a new investor demand. Again on Monday, the recorded incoming streams are $ 591.29 million and extend the records to seven consecutive days.

The dominant ETF is Ishares Bitcoin Trust (Ibit) Blackrock that leads dance so often. Since this Monday, he recorded $ 970.93 million alone.

Total bitcoin spot ETF pure tide. Source: Sosovalue
Total clean flow of ETF bitcoins in cash. Source: Sosovalue

This increase reflects the increasing trust of investors and long -term optimism for a bitcoin course in 2025. This feeling could therefore be prolonged in May, with the moon synonymous with a new impult for BTC.

Finally, bitcoins recently shrink from the S&P 500, which historically emphasized a large increase in prices.

Beincrypto also introduced the growing gap between the BTC and the NASDAQ index. Optimistic analysts interpret this gap as a sign that the largest crypto in the world behaves more like independent property, less associated with traditional markets.

“Old Proverbs” to sell in May and GO “does not apply to the same way for crypto, the pressure of liquidity is shrinking, and this time it could mean the beginning of acceleration and not a break. Annndxt announced.

M2 Global, Bitcoin Price and S & P500 Correlation Index.
Correlation between M2 world, Bitcoin course and S & P500 index. Source: ARNDXT

Strong support for correlation with M2, historically positive performance in May for BTC, large flow flows in the ETF and department of traditional indices suggest that the sale of room in May 2025 could be a serious mistake.

However, investors should always remain careful. Fed key data, such as the US ICC, interest rates and customs tariff changes could still generate some uncertainty on the market.

Morality of History: The rule has an exception that has confirmed it.

Notification of irresponsibility

Notice of irresponsibility: In accordance with the Trust project Directives, this article for price analysis is intended only for information purposes and must not be considered financial or investment advice. Beincrypto undertakes to provide accurate and impartial information, but market conditions may change without prior notice. Always carry out your own research before making any financial decision and consult a professional.

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